Theories about forecasting

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Here are academic theories about how we seek to predict the future around people.

Clustering Illusion: Seeing patterns where there are none.
Dilution Effect: information about others reduces stereotyping.
Expectancy Violations Theory: we have expectations of others' behavior, eg. body space.
False Consensus Effect: we overestimate how much people agree with us.
Halo Effect: we generalize judgment across traits.
Implicit Personality Theory: we generalize expectation from a few central. traits.
Information Manipulation Theory: Breaking one of the four conversational maxims to persuade.
Interpersonal Expectancy Effect: Action is based on how we expect others to behave.
Interview Illusion: after a quick discussion, we believe we can predict many behaviors.
Outcome Dependency: we are optimistic about others when we need them to cooperate.
Out-Group Homogeneity: we see out-group people as 'all the same'.
Planning Fallacy: We underestimate how long things will take.
Planned Behavior Theory: the best predictors of deliberate behavior.
Reciprocity Norm: expecting others to return our favors.
Stereotypes: we classify people in broad groups.
Social Exchange Theory: comparing give and take in relationships.
Ultimate Attribution Error: we assume broad groups have similar disposition.

See also